Blogging Senate forecasts and results in the WA Senate re-election until officially declared.

Twitter: @AU_Truth_Seeker


Saturday 7 September 2013

Live Senate analysis - NSW

Tonight I will present my Monte Carlo analysis, based on official data as it's released

Initial data from NSW shows likely senate vote of:
LNP: 39%
ALP: 31%
GRN: 9%
PUP: 4%

Likely candidates elected:
LNP 3
ALP 2
GRN 72%
ONP 12%
BAP 9%
SFP 6%
KAP 2%


NSW Likely to elect 3 LNP, 2 ALP, 1 GRN. Outside chance to Buliding Australia Party or One Nation Party

2 comments:

  1. Check out Lib Dems - 8.52 with ~10% of the vote means that they might pick one up based on my brief entry into Antony Green's calculator.

    Can you run through your simulator?

    ReplyDelete