Tonight I will present my Monte Carlo analysis, based on official data as it's released
Initial data from NSW shows likely senate vote of:
LNP: 39%
ALP: 31%
GRN: 9%
PUP: 4%
Likely candidates elected:
LNP 3
ALP 2
GRN 72%
ONP 12%
BAP 9%
SFP 6%
KAP 2%
NSW Likely to elect 3 LNP, 2 ALP, 1 GRN. Outside chance to Buliding Australia Party or One Nation Party
Check out Lib Dems - 8.52 with ~10% of the vote means that they might pick one up based on my brief entry into Antony Green's calculator.
ReplyDeleteCan you run through your simulator?
Doing so in 2 minutes.
ReplyDelete