NSW Senate update - 64% counted

Now we're approaching the end of the night, and the end of updates. I will post figures for each of the states here. These are moving slowly, so I have applied a narrow range of variability.

Here are the results of the NSW half Senate election


Almost Certain:
2 ALP, 2 LNP, 1 Liberal Democrat

Likely:
LNP 80.5% likely

Possibilities:
GRN 6.8%
DEM 5.9%
SFP 6.2%
PUP 0.6%

The NSW Senate election tells some interesting stories.
- Confuse voters to get elected: Liberal Democratic Party luckily drew #1 on the Senate ballot. Because of the size of the ballot and the plethora of candidates voters could not find who they wanted to vote for. This caused the LDP vote to skyrocket to nearly 9%.
- Pauline Hanson. Not elected. As anticipated by some, her vote did not increase significantly, stuck in the 1% range and eliminated at an early stage. She was not helped by preferences.

As it cannot be reasonably demonstrated that voters actually approved of the LDP party, the question has to be asked about the system that delivered this undemocratic result.

For background reading, I refer readers to the talented Andrew Crook's expose on the LDP and other micro right parties.