I have updated the Senate results using latest AEC data.
Here is the currently forecast elected Senate:
Unsurprisingly, no surprise here and no change to data provided this morning.
There are some minor changes to the detailed summary
Essentially, I have slightly reduced my estimate of variability. I will continue to do this as more and more vote is counted and we get closer to having "final" data.
And one more thing... if time allows this week I will undertake an analysis of BTL votes from the 2010 election to determine their impact on the remaining non-locked in elected Senators.