Tonight I will present my Monte Carlo analysis, based on official data as it's released
Initial data from TAS shows likely senate vote of:
LNP: 41%
ALP: 31%
GRN: 11.5%
PUP: 6%
Likely candidates elected:
LNP: 2, +50% chance of 3rd seat
ALP 2
GRN: 92% likely
FF: 25%
PUP: 25%
Tasmania Likely to remain at 3-3
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