Tonight I will present my Monte Carlo analysis,
based on official data as it's released
Initial data from SA shows likely senate vote of:
LNP: 31%
ALP: 25%
XEN: 19%
GRN: 7%
PUP: 4%
Likely candidates elected:
LNP 2
ALP 1, +74% chance of 2nd
GRN 50%
FF: 40%
No Carbon Tax: 31%
PUP: 5%
SA Likely to elect 2 LNP, 1 ALP and Xenophon. Last two spots between ALP, GRN, FF and NCT.
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