Blogging Senate forecasts and results in the WA Senate re-election until officially declared.

Twitter: @AU_Truth_Seeker


Saturday 7 September 2013

Live senate analysis - VIC

Tonight I will present my Monte Carlo analysis, based on official data as it's released

Initial data from VICshows likely senate vote of:
LNP: 38%
ALP: 30.5%
GRN: 13.6%
PUP: 4%

Likely candidates elected:
LNP: 2 +20% chance of 3rd
ALP 2
GRN: 1
FF: 80%

Vic Likely to elect a FF senator, splitting 2-2-1-1

3 comments:

  1. Love your work, there's seem nothing on the TV yet so good to have a bit of analysis on what this means to the make-up of what forms half our parliamentary system.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. And side note congrats on being the anonymous expert for another Tim Colebatch piece..

      Delete